How To Tell If We’re Beating COVID-19

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Visit http://aatishb.com/covidtrends look around the graph in the video yourself!

Sources

Grant’s 3Blue1Brown Video: Exponential Growth and Epidemics: https://world wide web.youtube.com/watch?v=Kas0tIxDvrg

Aatish’s Exponential/Logistic Curve-Fitting Site: https://github.com/aatishb/covid/blob/master/curvefit.ipynb

Databases: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

The World in Data Page on Coronavirus: https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus

The number of tests for COVID-19 are now being performed all over the world? https://ourworldindata.org/covid-testing

Understanding logarithmic scales: https://world wide web.nytimes.com/2020/03/20/health/coronavirus-data-logarithm-chart.html

What we should can gain knowledge from the countries winning the coronavirus fight: https://world wide web.abc.internet.au/news/2020-03-26/coronavirus-covid19-global-spread-data-described/12089028

(Great explainer on log scales and growth curves described poor COVID-19 in various countries)

This video is really a collaboration with Aatish Bhatia on how to begin to see the COVID-19 tipping point – we present an easy method to graph COVID-19 coronavirus cases utilizing a logarithmic scale in “phase space” – plotting the development rate from the cumulative cases, instead of either of those against time.

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Produced by Henry Reich

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